Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.2%). Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 47.7% vs Larsson 48.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 67.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 64.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 55.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cirelli
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cirelli
Larsson
Last 6: Cirelli 4-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (676)
48.4% (506)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
62.5% (24)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (151)
44.9% (138)
-3.2%
On power play, Larsson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Cirelli is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Cirelli shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Larsson
Home
45.4% (469)
51.9% (335)
Away
49.7% (445)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Cirelli
Larsson
P1
46.3%
48.7%
P2
46.3%
48.3%
P3
49.6%
48.1%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
47.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |