Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Larsson 48.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Lizotte
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lizotte
Larsson
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
1
Lizotte
Larsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Lizotte
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
3
Lizotte
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
50.2% (504)
+3.0%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
33.3% (9)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
41.7% (96)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Larsson
Home
46.9% (177)
48.2% (272)
Away
54.8% (177)
49.0% (337)
By Period
Lizotte
Larsson
P1
42.3%
48.6%
P2
51.8%
56.1%
P3
60.9%
41.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |