Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs Larsson 51.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 75.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 78.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 64.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Jenner
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jenner
Larsson
Last 7: Jenner 3-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Jenner
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
3
Jenner
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
51.3% (696)
+2.5%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
56.3% (32)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
41.9% (31)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jenner shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Jenner
Larsson
Home
55.1% (127)
51.1% (356)
Away
51.5% (167)
51.1% (403)
By Period
Jenner
Larsson
P1
46.2%
54.6%
P2
51.0%
51.9%
P3
61.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 8, 2016 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |