Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Larsson 48.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Point leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 96.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Point 70.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Point
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Point
Larsson
Last 10: Point 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
10
0
Point
Larsson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
48.4% (506)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
62.5% (24)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
44.9% (138)
-1.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Point is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Point shoots right. Larsson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Point
Larsson
Home
49.4% (387)
51.9% (335)
Away
52.8% (390)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Point
Larsson
P1
49.1%
48.7%
P2
49.0%
48.3%
P3
54.4%
48.1%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Brayden Point |