Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Larsson 45.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 54.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 67.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Spezza
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Larsson
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Spezza
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Spezza
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
45.2% (290)
+7.8%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
38.6% (44)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Larsson is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Spezza
Larsson
Home
56.4% (626)
45.1% (153)
Away
51.7% (636)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Spezza
Larsson
P1
56.9%
45.3%
P2
51.9%
41.4%
P3
53.9%
44.0%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |