Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Larsson 51.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
McClement
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McClement
Larsson
Last 5: McClement 1-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
McClement
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
51.3% (696)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
56.3% (32)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
41.9% (31)
+3.9%
On even strength, McClement has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
McClement
Larsson
Home
56.0% (341)
51.1% (356)
Away
54.6% (337)
51.1% (403)
By Period
McClement
Larsson
P1
52.7%
54.6%
P2
55.7%
51.9%
P3
58.3%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |