Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Johan Larsson
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Larsson 51.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 67.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Pageau
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pageau
Larsson
Last 8: Pageau 2-6 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
4
Pageau
Larsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
51.3% (696)
+2.8%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
56.3% (32)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
41.9% (31)
+4.9%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Pageau shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Pageau
Larsson
Home
54.7% (592)
51.1% (356)
Away
49.6% (585)
51.1% (403)
By Period
Pageau
Larsson
P1
51.0%
54.6%
P2
54.3%
51.9%
P3
51.8%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |