Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Johan Larsson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Larsson 50.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 74.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Pageau
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pageau
Larsson
Last 5: Pageau 2-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Pageau
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (384)
53.8% (773)
+1.1%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
0.0% (2)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
39.9% (218)
+13.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Pageau
Larsson
Home
55.4% (222)
51.2% (490)
Away
52.5% (259)
50.1% (503)
By Period
Pageau
Larsson
P1
55.3%
50.6%
P2
55.2%
53.1%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |