Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Staal 55.7% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 85.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 81.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Larsson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Larsson
Staal
Last 9: Larsson 1-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Larsson
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Larsson
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Larsson
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
56.6% (769)
-11.4%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
60.2% (98)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
27.8% (18)
+0.8%
On power play, Staal has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Larsson
Staal
Home
45.1% (153)
57.8% (510)
Away
43.1% (188)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Larsson
Staal
P1
45.3%
55.1%
P2
41.4%
56.8%
P3
44.0%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |