Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Staal 56.8% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 76.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 77.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Larsson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Larsson
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Larsson
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
58.9% (1,041)
-12.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.4% (73)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
49.1% (171)
-10.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Larsson
Staal
Home
52.1% (167)
59.0% (578)
Away
42.4% (255)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Larsson
Staal
P1
50.0%
57.1%
P2
46.7%
60.9%
P3
42.6%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |