Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Kolesar 43.8% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 64.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 75.9%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 53.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Larsson
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
40.6% (170)
+6.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (6)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
33.3% (12)
+5.7%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Kolesar is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kolesar
Home
52.1% (167)
38.0% (92)
Away
42.4% (255)
42.7% (96)
By Period
Larsson
Kolesar
P1
50.0%
41.0%
P2
46.7%
41.9%
P3
42.6%
37.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
40.4%