Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Brodziak 51.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 70.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 81.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 61.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Larsson
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larsson
Brodziak
Last 7: Larsson 2-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
3
Larsson
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Brodziak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
53.4% (631)
+0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
46.3% (121)
-6.4%
On power play, Brodziak has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Larsson
Brodziak
Home
51.2% (490)
53.9% (410)
Away
50.1% (503)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Larsson
Brodziak
P1
50.6%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
56.1%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |