Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.7%). Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 56.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 50.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Larsson
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larsson
Brodziak
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
3
Larsson
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.5% (6,432)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
52.8% (326)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
45.5% (1,344)
-1.7%
On power play, Brodziak has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Larsson
Brodziak
Home
51.2% (2,493)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Larsson
Brodziak
P1
51.6%
49.2%
P2
49.7%
50.7%
P3
47.2%
49.5%
OT
52.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |