Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Draisaitl 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 62.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Larsson
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Larsson
Draisaitl
Last 8: Larsson 2-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Larsson
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Larsson
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
49.2% (762)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
51.8% (164)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
34.8% (46)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Larsson is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Larsson shoots left. Draisaitl is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Larsson
Draisaitl
Home
51.7% (265)
54.3% (475)
Away
46.3% (268)
43.9% (497)
By Period
Larsson
Draisaitl
P1
58.8%
47.5%
P2
44.1%
49.7%
P3
44.0%
50.3%
OT
71.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |