Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 91.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 80.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Larsson
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larsson
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
52.6% (1,124)
-5.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
58.4% (344)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
49.2% (193)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Larsson
Draisaitl
Home
52.1% (167)
55.5% (816)
Away
42.4% (255)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Larsson
Draisaitl
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
46.7%
51.6%
P3
42.6%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |