Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Couture 48.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 67.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Larsson
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Larsson
Couture
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
3
Larsson
Couture
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larsson
Couture
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
7
3
Larsson
Couture
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
48.8% (8,919)
+1.7%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
54.6% (624)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
39.8% (992)
+4.0%
On power play, Couture has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Larsson
Couture
Home
51.2% (2,493)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Larsson
Couture
P1
51.6%
47.9%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
47.2%
49.2%
OT
52.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Logan Couture |