Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Couture 48.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 60.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 57.4%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Larsson
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larsson
Couture
Last 7: Larsson 5-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Couture
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
48.7% (986)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
58.5% (94)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
44.1% (195)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Home / Away
Larsson
Couture
Home
52.1% (167)
47.2% (625)
Away
42.4% (255)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Larsson
Couture
P1
50.0%
46.8%
P2
46.7%
49.8%
P3
42.6%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Logan Couture |