Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 93.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 83.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Larsson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Larsson
Barzal
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
4
Larsson
Barzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
41.9% (3,565)
+8.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
43.4% (205)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.3% (26)
+1.5%
On even strength, Larsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Larsson
Barzal
Home
51.2% (2,493)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Larsson
Barzal
P1
51.6%
40.7%
P2
49.7%
44.4%
P3
47.2%
41.0%
OT
52.3%
27.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |