Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Stajan 49.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Larsson
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larsson
Stajan
Last 5: Larsson 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Larsson
Stajan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Larsson
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
43.2% (176)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
46.1% (864)
-2.3%
On power play, Larsson has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stajan
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Larsson
Stajan
P1
51.6%
50.3%
P2
49.7%
48.5%
P3
47.2%
49.4%
OT
52.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |