Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs McLeod 56.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 69.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 88.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Larsson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larsson
McLeod
Last 5: Larsson 4-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
58.3% (859)
-11.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (28)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
53.0% (168)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Larsson
McLeod
Home
52.1% (167)
55.3% (526)
Away
42.4% (255)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Larsson
McLeod
P1
50.0%
60.7%
P2
46.7%
55.9%
P3
42.6%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |