Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Backlund 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 58.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 58.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Larsson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Backlund
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
51.1% (1,070)
+3.7%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
50.5% (91)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
45.2% (248)
+9.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Larsson shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Larsson
Backlund
Home
57.5% (301)
49.3% (702)
Away
51.8% (338)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Larsson
Backlund
P1
54.8%
46.3%
P2
49.1%
53.8%
P3
60.0%
49.9%
Final 5 min
60.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |