Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Backlund 56.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Larsson
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
51.5% (983)
-4.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.4% (87)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
45.3% (159)
-6.3%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Larsson
Backlund
Home
52.1% (167)
51.6% (653)
Away
42.4% (255)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Larsson
Backlund
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
49.8%
P3
42.6%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%