Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Granlund 47.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 65.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 56.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Larsson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Granlund
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
47.7% (1,001)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
53.4% (73)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
40.2% (132)
-1.2%
On power play, Larsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Larsson
Granlund
Home
52.1% (167)
45.9% (582)
Away
42.4% (255)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Larsson
Granlund
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
46.7%
46.7%
P3
42.6%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |