Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Kadri 49.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 80.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 57.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Larsson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larsson
Kadri
Last 9: Larsson 3-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Larsson
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Larsson
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
50.2% (849)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.6% (235)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
43.0% (93)
-4.0%
On power play, Larsson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kadri
Home
52.1% (167)
48.5% (557)
Away
42.4% (255)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Larsson
Kadri
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
51.3%
P3
42.6%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |