Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Larsson 70.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Larsson
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
55.4% (771)
-8.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
57.1% (7)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
45.5% (165)
-6.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Larsson
Dowd
Home
52.1% (167)
58.2% (462)
Away
42.4% (255)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Larsson
Dowd
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
46.7%
50.5%
P3
42.6%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%