Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.1% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 78.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Larsson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Bjugstad
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Larsson
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Larsson
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (501)
46.2% (340)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
58.0% (50)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Larsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bjugstad
Home
51.7% (265)
49.4% (237)
Away
46.3% (268)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Larsson
Bjugstad
P1
58.8%
46.4%
P2
44.1%
50.4%
P3
44.0%
45.6%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | OT | 03:00 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |