Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Larsson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larsson
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Larsson
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
55.9% (245)
-9.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (3)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
57.1% (7)
-18.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bjugstad
Home
52.1% (167)
53.2% (111)
Away
42.4% (255)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Larsson
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
44.6%
P2
46.7%
61.4%
P3
42.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |