Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 90.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 86.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Larsson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Larsson
Bjugstad
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
8
Larsson
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
0
Larsson
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Larsson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
48.8% (467)
+5.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.4% (58)
-53.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
60.0% (5)
-20.1%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bjugstad
Home
51.2% (490)
49.0% (261)
Away
50.1% (503)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Larsson
Bjugstad
P1
50.6%
50.9%
P2
53.1%
50.5%
P3
48.3%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |