Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Bjugstad 47.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 74.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Larsson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Larsson
Bjugstad
Last 10: Larsson 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
6
Larsson
Bjugstad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Larsson
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
45.8% (238)
+4.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.0% (30)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (96)
50.0% (2)
-8.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larsson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (169).
Larsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bjugstad
Home
48.2% (272)
48.9% (133)
Away
49.0% (337)
43.8% (137)
By Period
Larsson
Bjugstad
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
56.1%
40.6%
P3
41.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |