Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 24-17 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 56.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 68.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 58.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Larsson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
24
(41 meetings)
17
24
Larsson
Bonino
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
9
8
Larsson
Bonino
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
6
Larsson
Bonino
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
10
Larsson
Bonino
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
54.1% (972)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.6% (1,693)
-0.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bonino
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Larsson
Bonino
P1
51.6%
50.6%
P2
49.7%
48.5%
P3
47.2%
51.1%
OT
52.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |