Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larsson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Bonino 48.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 65.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 57.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Larsson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Larsson
Bonino
Last 8: Larsson 2-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Larsson
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Larsson
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Larsson
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
49.6% (837)
-1.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.7% (223)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
41.0% (134)
-1.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Larsson shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bonino
Home
46.8% (154)
50.7% (564)
Away
48.1% (131)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Larsson
Bonino
P1
50.5%
44.9%
P2
48.5%
50.1%
P3
43.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |