Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 77.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Larsson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Larsson
Foligno
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
8
Larsson
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
52.3% (730)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.0% (455)
-0.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Larsson
Foligno
Home
51.2% (2,493)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Larsson
Foligno
P1
51.6%
47.6%
P2
49.7%
50.4%
P3
47.2%
48.3%
OT
52.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |