Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Foligno 51.8% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 61.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Larsson
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
58.1% (31)
-11.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (2)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
50.0% (6)
-11.0%
On even strength, Foligno has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Larsson
Foligno
Home
52.1% (167)
56.3% (16)
Away
42.4% (255)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Larsson
Foligno
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
66.7%
P3
42.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%