Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Foligno 54.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 93.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 89.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Larsson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Larsson
Foligno
Last 7: Larsson 4-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Larsson
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
63.3% (120)
-9.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
49.5% (95)
-49.5%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
50.0% (20)
-10.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Foligno is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Larsson
Foligno
Home
51.2% (490)
57.5% (120)
Away
50.1% (503)
55.7% (115)
By Period
Larsson
Foligno
P1
50.6%
52.1%
P2
53.1%
61.1%
P3
48.3%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |