Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Larsson
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
42.9% (133)
+3.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.1% (89)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
47.1% (17)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Larsson
Schmaltz
Home
52.1% (167)
41.6% (125)
Away
42.4% (255)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Larsson
Schmaltz
P1
50.0%
40.0%
P2
46.7%
59.5%
P3
42.6%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%