Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 80.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 55.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 77.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Larsson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larsson
Suzuki
Last 6: Larsson 4-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Larsson
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
50.3% (1,075)
-3.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.3% (219)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
43.1% (116)
-4.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Larsson
Suzuki
Home
52.1% (167)
53.6% (711)
Away
42.4% (255)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Larsson
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
46.7%
51.7%
P3
42.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |