Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Patrick 51.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 83.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.7%
Neutral zone
Patrick 57.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Larsson
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Larsson
Patrick
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Larsson
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Patrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
1
Larsson
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.6% (1,978)
-0.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
57.5% (120)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
57.7% (26)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Larsson
Patrick
Home
51.2% (2,493)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Larsson
Patrick
P1
51.6%
52.9%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
47.2%
51.3%
OT
52.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |