Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Patrick 48.9% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Patrick 67.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Larsson
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
47.4% (156)
-0.7%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
56.3% (16)
+4.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Larsson
Patrick
Home
52.1% (167)
43.8% (96)
Away
42.4% (255)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Larsson
Patrick
P1
50.0%
44.4%
P2
46.7%
45.6%
P3
42.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%