Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.2%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larsson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Patrick 51.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 89.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.1%
Neutral zone
Patrick 52.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Larsson
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Larsson
Patrick
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
2
Larsson
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Patrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
1
Larsson
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
50.8% (732)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.8% (45)
-57.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
50.0% (2)
-10.1%
On power play, Patrick has a +57.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Larsson shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Larsson
Patrick
Home
51.2% (490)
51.5% (388)
Away
50.1% (503)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Larsson
Patrick
P1
50.6%
53.7%
P2
53.1%
48.2%
P3
48.3%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |