Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 83.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 90.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 79.7%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Larsson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Larsson
Gaustad
Last 10: Larsson 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Larsson
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Larsson
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.7%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
65.4% (188)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
54.8% (1,290)
-11.0%
On power play, Gaustad has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Larsson
Gaustad
Home
51.2% (2,493)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Larsson
Gaustad
P1
51.6%
58.2%
P2
49.7%
56.4%
P3
47.2%
58.3%
OT
52.3%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |