Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 87.0%
Neutral zone
Larsson 67.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Larsson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Larsson
Stastny
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
6
Larsson
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
3
Larsson
Stastny
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
59.1% (1,994)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stastny
Home
51.2% (2,493)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Larsson
Stastny
P1
51.6%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
47.2%
53.5%
OT
52.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |