Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Larsson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larsson
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Larsson
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
59.2% (370)
-12.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
40.9% (44)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
51.7% (58)
-12.7%
On power play, Larsson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stastny
Home
52.1% (167)
57.7% (215)
Away
42.4% (255)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Larsson
Stastny
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
46.7%
54.2%
P3
42.6%
57.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |