Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.4% vs Stastny 54.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 89.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Larsson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Stastny
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Larsson
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Larsson
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (506)
53.6% (859)
-5.2%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
59.9% (202)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
55.1% (78)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Larsson shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stastny
Home
51.9% (335)
56.9% (596)
Away
44.4% (333)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Larsson
Stastny
P1
48.7%
53.9%
P2
48.3%
56.2%
P3
48.1%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |