Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 64.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Larsson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Larsson
Nash
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Larsson
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
1
Larsson
Nash
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Larsson
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.8%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
51.0% (249)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.9% (550)
-1.1%
On power play, Nash has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Larsson
Nash
Home
51.2% (2,493)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Larsson
Nash
P1
51.6%
49.0%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
47.2%
48.0%
OT
52.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 12, 2016 | OT | 01:23 | Defensive | Riley Nash |