Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
Larsson 65.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 54.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Larsson
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
54.1% (292)
-7.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
57.1% (7)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
45.9% (98)
-6.9%
On even strength, Nash has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Larsson
Nash
Home
52.1% (167)
56.3% (183)
Away
42.4% (255)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Larsson
Nash
P1
50.0%
58.9%
P2
46.7%
51.0%
P3
42.6%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%