Johan Larsson vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Larsson
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Carpenter
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Larsson
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.9%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
41.5% (41)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
43.9% (467)
-0.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Larsson
Carpenter
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Larsson
Carpenter
P1
51.6%
49.6%
P2
49.7%
47.7%
P3
47.2%
48.0%
OT
52.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |