Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Larsson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 51.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 67.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Larsson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
40.9% (232)
+5.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (1)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
40.0% (30)
-1.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Larsson
Lafferty
Home
52.1% (167)
38.2% (123)
Away
42.4% (255)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Larsson
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
41.6%
P2
46.7%
36.7%
P3
42.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%