Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 45.4% vs Smith 51.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 63.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.2%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Larsson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Smith
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Larsson
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Larsson
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (290)
53.7% (449)
-8.5%
Power Play
38.6% (44)
80.0% (10)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
43.1% (102)
-14.5%
On power play, Smith has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Larsson shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Larsson
Smith
Home
45.1% (153)
55.0% (280)
Away
43.1% (188)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Larsson
Smith
P1
45.3%
52.3%
P2
41.4%
52.1%
P3
44.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
38.6%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |