Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.6%). Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 61.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 54.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Larsson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larsson
Smith
Last 6: Larsson 3-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
0
Larsson
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Larsson
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Larsson
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
49.0% (769)
+1.5%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
63.6% (22)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
42.4% (118)
+1.4%
On power play, Smith has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Larsson
Smith
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.4% (490)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Larsson
Smith
P1
51.6%
46.9%
P2
49.7%
51.2%
P3
47.2%
47.7%
OT
52.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |