Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.6%). Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Larsson wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 53.9% vs Bozak 53.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 76.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Larsson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Larsson
Bozak
Last 10: Larsson 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Larsson
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Larsson
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (509)
53.6% (977)
+1.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
52.2% (186)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (119)
100.0% (6)
-45.4%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Larsson shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bozak
Home
57.5% (301)
55.4% (583)
Away
51.8% (338)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Larsson
Bozak
P1
54.8%
51.9%
P2
49.1%
51.1%
P3
60.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
60.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |